Functionally informed fine-mapping and polygenic localization of complex trait heritability

Omer Weissbrod, Farhad Hormozdiari, Christian Benner, Ran Cui, Jacob Ulirsch, Steven Gazal, Armin P. Schoech, Bryce van de Geijn, Yakir Reshef, Carla Márquez-Luna, Luke O’Connor, Matti Pirinen, Hilary K. Finucane & Alkes L. Price .
Nature Genetics. 2020-11-16;52:1355-1363.
Abstract
Fine-mapping aims to identify causal variants impacting complex traits. We propose PolyFun, a computationally scalable framework to improve fine-mapping accuracy by leveraging functional annotations across the entire genome—not just genome-wide-significant loci—to specify prior probabilities for fine-mapping methods such as SuSiE or FINEMAP. In simulations, PolyFun + SuSiE and PolyFun + FINEMAP were well calibrated and identified >20% more variants with a posterior causal probability >0.95 than identified in their nonfunctionally informed counterparts. In analyses of 49 UK Biobank traits (average n = 318,000), PolyFun + SuSiE identified 3,025 fine-mapped variant–trait pairs with posterior causal probability >0.95, a >32% improvement versus SuSiE. We used posterior mean per-SNP heritabilities from PolyFun + SuSiE to perform polygenic localization, constructing minimal sets of common SNPs causally explaining 50% of common SNP heritability; these sets ranged in size from 28 (hair color) to 3,400 (height) to 2 million (number of children). In conclusion, PolyFun prioritizes variants for functional follow-up and provides insights into complex trait architectures.